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Apogee Consulting Inc

UPDATE: SAIC CityTime FUBAR Results in $500 Million Settlement

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We have not heretofore commented on the loss of the control codes for the International Space Station (ISS). You may already know that somebody stole an unencrypted NASA laptop and thus gained possession of the “algorithms” used to control the ISS. It occurred to more than one person that such an incident would be a great start to an action movie, perhaps starring Tom Cruise, George Clooney, or Matt Damon—but unfortunately it was all too real. Proving once again that life is stranger than Hollywood can dream up, NASA had to accept that some person or persons unknown was in possession of the codes used to control the ISS.

That particular incident is only one of the 48 NASA laptops or mobile devices stolen from the Space Agency between 2009 and 2011, according to Congressional testimony by the NASA Inspector General. According to the NASA IG, data lost in these thefts included “export-controlled, Personally Identifiable Information, and third-party intellectual property.” Yet despite the ongoing risk posed by data loss, to date only one percent of NASA laptops and other mobile devices have been encrypted.

In this PCWorld article, the author explored some of the implications from unencrypted devices. He wrote—

Lost laptops and lost mobile phones have long topped the list as the biggest nightmare for security chiefs and PR teams (see this Laptop Losers Hall of Shame for some older cringe-worthy stories). Why does encryption continue to pose such a big business challenge?

NASA offers a good example. It doesn’t have an agency-wide data encryption system or solution. Individuals can encrypt a laptop at the file, folder, or drive level, but that could leave too much room for error or leave too much up to user discretion. A centralized, managed encryption solution for your whole fleet of mobile devices is a better idea, but obviously may involve more costly enterprise resources. Implementing such a system across a chain of command, with lots of people and systems involved, no doubt requires a lot of planning and commitment.

Considering that the average value of an individual lost laptop has been computed as more than $49,000, however, making sure each laptop is encrypted before it leaves the room with sensitive data on it is probably well worth the investment.

Readers of this blog already know about our position on this particular issue, thanks to Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) and a stolen unencrypted laptop full of the personal information of 4.9 million TRICARE participants. Yes, you read that correctly: SAIC lost the personal information of 4.9 million TRICARE beneficiaries. As we reported

So, let’s see now. We were at about $36 million or so.  Plus $4.9 billion in potential legal damages. Plus $147 million in credit monitoring services. Hey SAIC, might want to rein in those rogue employees of yours. You know, the ones who can’t be bothered to encrypt their laptop hard drives?

That wasn’t our only article about SAIC. We also told you about the company’s problems with New York City. As we reported, SAIC faced troubling allegations regarding its “City Time” project, including receipt of kick-backs from a subcontractor and timekeeping irregularities by SAIC’s project manager. Between the City Time and the TRICARE legal hassles, we figured that SAIC had a full plate of problems with which to deal.

Well, SAIC is back in the news, and we have some updates on those two stories to share with our readers.

On March 14, 2012, Bloomberg Businessweek reported that SAIC “agreed to pay $500.4 million under a deferred prosecution agreement to resolve claims that it conspired to defraud” New York City with respect to the City Time project. The article stated—

SAIC admitted it failed to investigate claims that a manager of the CityTime payroll project directed staffing tasks to a single subcontractor, Technodyne LLC, in exchange for kickbacks, according to documents unsealed today by federal prosecutors. The McLean, Virginia-based company also failed to notify the city of the claims …

The city was billed about $690 million for SAIC to create a now-operational Web-based, time-keeping payroll management system … Payments to Technodyne ballooned to $325 million from $17 million, even as the contract was amended to transfer cost overruns to the city, according to a statement of responsibility submitted by SAIC.

Bloomberg also reported that—

SAIC agreed to the filing of one count of conspiracy to commit wire fraud and agreed to disgorge proceeds of the offense, including $370.4 million in restitution to the city and a $130 million penalty, according to a Justice Department letter describing the settlement. An independent monitor will be appointed to ensure compliance with the accord and with procurement policies.

If SAIC pays the money and cooperates with federal investigators, the U.S. will seek to have the charges dropped after three years, according to the agreement.

‘Those responsible for directly managing the project failed to enforce the company’s procurement policies in ways that allowed the irregular Technodyne relationship to continue,’ according to the company’s statement of responsibility. …

The project manager, Gerard Denault, was arrested in May and charged with fraud and conspiracy. His case is pending. … Prosecutors have charged 11 defendants plus Technodyne. One died, two pleaded guilty, and eight cases are pending ….

The bottom-line, as reported by Bloomberg is that “the $500 million [settlement] represents the ‘largest by dollar amount arising out of any state or government contract fraud in history’….”

Oh, but that’s not all. Remember SAIC’s stolen TRICARE laptop? Well, according to this Nextgov story, some of the TRICARE beneficiaries have “discovered bogus charges on their credit card statements and unauthorized bank transactions.” The Nextgov article provided details, gleaned from one of the pending suits against SAIC, regarding the problems experienced by several people. The article reported—

The amended complaint said TRICARE beneficiaries had to take extensive steps to protect their financial information.

The plaintiffs ‘had to cancel credit cards and close bank accounts; open new credit cards and bank accounts; stop direct deposits to those compromised accounts and re-enroll in direct deposits for new accounts; stop recurring electronic payments from compromised accounts and re-enroll in electronic payments through new accounts; and otherwise spend time and money in mitigation responding to notifications following the wrongful disclosure that certain financial accounts have been compromised,’ the complaint said.

Dr. Deborah Peel, founder of the Patient Privacy Rights Advocacy Group in Austin, Texas, said unwanted marketing, credit card cancellation, and identity theft are typical and expected when sensitive, richly detailed personal health data is breached. It could take years to discover the repercussions of stolen medical information, she said.

Interestingly, the story also noted that the amended complaint alleged that the theft of the TRICARE data may not have been a random act. Nextgov reported—

The new complaint alleges that the theft was targeted. The SAIC employee's car, a 2003 Honda Civic, was parked in a garage that housed many luxury cars, ‘yet the thief or thieves, who went to great effort to avoid security, did not break into any of the luxury cars in the garage, targeting instead the relatively inexpensive car containing the confidential data.’

The complaint added, ‘The thief or thieves stealthily broke into the employee's Honda Civic and took the unencrypted backup tapes and records, thereby gaining information worth billions of dollars. The nature of this theft supports the logical inference that the thief or thieves were specifically targeting the confidential information contained on the backup tapes and records.’

The Nextgov story also noted that SAIC is currently facing eight separate lawsuits related to the data loss.

How much more can we add to the facts of the two stories? We here at Apogee Consulting, Inc. frequently urge our readers to invest in their internal controls, calling it cheap when compared to the full cost of non-compliance. How much clearer can the math be? In SAIC’s case, one single state/local project led to a $500 million settlement, and one single failure to secure client data has led to eight separate lawsuits and a potential legal liability of more than $5 billion. How much more can one corporation, no matter how large, afford? At what point does the Board of Directors—or the shareholders—start to lose confidence in the executive leadership team?

Remember, SAIC only recently became a publicly traded company. From its founding in 1969 through 2005, it was an employee-owned company. By its own description

… SAIC had become a company of entrepreneurs. ‘Not just one or two at the top,’ says [Founder Bob] Beyster. ‘A company in which those who are motivated and capable can organize, manage, and assume the risk of different aspects of the company. In return they received not only salary, but ownership of the company.’

The thing is, the SAIC of today isn’t the SAIC of 1969 or even 1999. It’s a publicly traded company with responsibilities to its shareholders. We wonder if perhaps it’s time, or even past time, for the company to consider changing its entrepreneurial culture and move toward a more centralized command-and-control structure—one that might act to mitigate some of the corporate risks that do not seem to be fully managed by its employees.

 

Your DCAA Problems Are Real and Are Not a Symptom of Mass Hysteria

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SuccessFailure
The perception is growing, ever so slowly, that contractors’ continued cavils against DCAA are not the result of mass hysteria, or the result of drinking a special type of DARPA kool-aid. Slowly, but surely, even the most ardent DCAA defender is beginning to realize that opportunities for improvement in the DOD’s oversight regime exist.

It’s been just over a year since DCAA Director Pat Fitzgerald testified before the Senate. Though he defended the status quo, other witnesses criticized DCAA. More recently, GAO told Congress that “DCAA, because of workforce challenges of its own, is not at present able to fulfill its business system audit responsibilities and is not likely to be in a position to do so in the near term given its other priorities.”

Somebody in Congress must have listened, because (as we told you) Section 805 of the FY2012 National Defense Authorization Act requires the DCAA Director to issue a report to Congress providing (among other things) statistics regarding the total number of audit reports “completed and pending,” the length of time for each type of audit, and “an assessment of the number and types of audits pending for a period longer than allowed” pursuant to DCAA guidance.

Contractors have been complaining about DCAA since forever but, in the past few years (starting with “reforms” enacted by the audit agency in reaction to GAO findings from reports issued in 2008 and 2009), those complaints have reached a crescendo—a veritable cavalcade of criticism that was, until quite recently, apparently discounted by most outside the industry as just more whining about audit findings. Several commenters opined that the complaints indicated that DCAA was doing something right.

We reported on a 2011 study by Deltek (maker of accounting software for government contractors) right here. In that article, we told our readers that, when confronted by a reporter’s questions regarding the fall-off in DCAA audit output, a DOD spokesperson attributed the phenomenon to “greater diligence” by auditors, stating “the decrease in audits over the last few years is largely due to an increased emphasis on quality and implementing additional audit procedures.” We, like most of the government contracting universe, were concerned about DCAA’s audit productivity while being unconvinced that quality had improved to a noticeable degree. Nonetheless, that was the official party line; and so long as that remained the party line, DCAA seemingly had free rein to follow its own GAGAS-inspired path, unfettered by industry and customer complaints about their lack of added value to the defense acquisition oversight process.

When Grant Thornton released its annual Government Contractor Survey in early 2011 we quoted some bits but opined that “Complaints are pouring in from all fronts, but seemingly to no effect. It seems that nobody in the Pentagon is able or willing to rein-in DCMA and DCAA.

But we think the party line is evolving, if at a snail’s pace.

This year, the Grant Thornton survey had a little more traction, and we were happily surprised at the questions it engendered in the mind(s) of at least one traditional DCAA cheerleader—POGO. Here’s a link to the Government Executive article on the GT Survey. The GovExec article notes “signs of friction in contractor-government relations” as if it were brand-new news, but let’s skip that and focus on the meat of the article, which reported—

In the 17th Annual Government Contractor Industry Survey released Monday by Grant Thornton LLP, contractor relationships with auditors were rated either fair or poor by 19 percent of surveyed companies, up from 11 percent the previous year. Relationships with contracting officers were rated fair or poor by 10 percent of respondents, double the previous year’s total.
Only 22 percent of respondents said the government resolved contract disputes efficiently, a drop from previous surveys.

The GovExec article also reported—

The survey also found that profits improved slightly from the previous year. The biggest cost factor within these firms was executive compensation, and survey analysts said they disagreed with the methods the Defense Contract Audit Agency uses in determining whether to allow such costs.

‘While government contracting has never been a model of efficiency, it is our view that the decline in efficiency and business relationships during the past few years can be traced directly to changes in DCAA policy adopted after [Government Accountability Office] reports were issued in July 2008 and September 2009,’ [the GT authors] wrote.

‘Unfortunately, the GAO criticized the DCAA for having a management and agency culture that focused on a production-oriented mission, emphasizing the need for timeliness in supporting the needs of contracting officers in the procurement process,' the survey said.

The GT Survey (link in the GovExec snippet above) asserted—

...in our view, the quality of the audit reports being issued by the DCAA under the new policies is far lower than was the case prior to the GAO reports. It appears that the net result from the GAO reports is that the DCAA’s production-oriented culture has been replaced by a system in which the DCAA takes far longer to issue lower quality reports to a contracting officer who must seek DCAA concurrence before conceding some of the DCAA’s positions in negotiations with the contractor. A possible remedy for the current inefficiencies that plague government contracting would be a statement of the basic principle that an audit report must be completed in a timely fashion if it’s going to be useful as part of an efficient and cost-effective procurement process. … It is unfortunate that the GAO did not focus its attention more closely on the way the DCAA allocates its resources rather than criticizing the DCAA for a perceived lack of independence or inadequate documentation in the work-paper files.

POGO reacted to the GT Survey in a very interesting way. In one of Nick Schwellenbach’s last POGO blog posts, he wrote—

Grant Thornton is clearly offering industry's perspective. But the strong words they have on the Defense Contract Audit Agency (DCAA)—long the bane of government contractors—and that of the Government Accountability Office (GAO), which issued two very critical reports on DCAA are worth noting. …

It's been well-established that DCAA is taking far longer to issue audit reports and that their coverage of contracts has plummeted even as their staff has significantly grown. But the justification has been that the fewer audits produced covering fewer contracts are of higher quality. Grant Thornton's report disputes that and claims that taxpayers are being served less effectively.

Is this a case of industry trying to mislead the public with misinformation? Or is there something to their claims? One thing is true: one measure of success should be whether DCAA is having a greater impact on the procurement process. If it is increasingly marginal and producing lower quality reports, how are taxpayers coming out better?

Perhaps GAO should do as Grant Thornton suggests and look at how DCAA spends its time and if there are better outcomes for taxpayers now than before the reforms took place. That would make a good deal of sense and would constitute important oversight of this extremely critical but largely unknown agency.

We were somewhat stunned that POGO would be open to the idea that Grant Thornton—and by extension a horde of government contractors—might actually be speaking the truth when they voice criticism of the audit agency, and voice concerns about the lack of productivity (and quality) and impacts on the procurement process. We think the truth of the situation is becoming obvious, even to organizations who have, in the past, appeared to be deaf to the voices of the government contractor community.

Maybe nothing will change in the near future, but—hey—it’s a start.

 

What You Need to Know About the FY12 National Defense Authorization Act

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Each year, Bob Antonio publishes a world-class analysis of key public laws that impact government contracting, and this year was no exception. WIFCON’s breakdown of the FY2012 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) is a must-read for informed compliance and contracting professionals. The reason that the annual NDAA (and other similar legislation) is so important to read is that the contents include Congress’ direction to the DOD. In other words, the contents of the NDAA (and other legislation) drive new FAR and DFARS Cases, which drive revisions to existing regulatory requirements. So to read the NDAA is to glimpse the DAR Council’s future rule-making.

As we scanned the 50 or so separate sections, these are the ones that struck us as being of most importance to our readership and clientele.

Section 803 extended the ceiling on contractor executive compensation, and applies it to all contractor personnel, not just the top 5 highest paid executives at every segment—“except that the Secretary of Defense may establish one or more narrowly targeted exceptions for scientists and engineers upon a determination that such exceptions are needed to ensure that the Department of Defense has continued access to needed skills and capabilities”.

Section 805 required the Director of DCAA to submit an annual report to Congress (separate from the Semi-Annual DOD IG Report) that contains—

(1) a description of significant problems, abuses, and deficiencies encountered during the conduct of contractor audits; (2) statistical tables showing--

(A) the total number of audit reports completed and pending;
(B) the priority given to each type of audit;
(C) the length of time taken for each type of audit;
(D) the total dollar value of questioned costs (including a separate category for the dollar value of unsupported costs); and
(E) an assessment of the number and types of audits pending for a period longer than allowed pursuant to guidance of the Defense Contract Audit Agency;

(3) a summary of any recommendations of actions or resources needed to improve the audit process; and (4) any other matters the Director considers appropriate.

Section 816 redefined the definition of the term “covered contract” for purposes of complying with the DFARS Business System clauses. The new definition is, “a contract that is subject to the cost accounting standards promulgated pursuant to section 1502 of title 41, United States Code, that could be affected if the data produced by a contractor business system has a significant deficiency.”

Section 818 has been extensively discussed by many industry and technical associations. It required the DOD to assess current processes for detecting and avoiding counterfeit electronic parts, and to enhance them (as well as related acquisition regulations) so as to ensure that weapons systems are free of counterfeit parts. (Longtime readers will recall, perhaps with nostalgia, our many pleas and rants on the topic of secure supply chains.)

Section 853 required an assessment of “the feasibility and advisability of establishing an inventory of rare earth materials….” Again, longtime readers may recall our two articles on the strategic importance of rare earth materials. New readers are advised to use the site’s key word search feature.

Section 862 encouraged contractors to support Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) programs. This may turn out to be an important Section, since DCAA has historically tended to treat such contractor efforts as unallowable contributions.

Section 2801 prohibited the use of “any form of cost-plus contracting” in relation to any military construction project or military family housing project. It will be interesting to see how the term “cost-plus” is used: whether it will be limited to forms of cost-reimbursement contracting, or whether it will be applied to all forms of “flexibly priced” contracts (which would include T&M contract types).

To sum it all up, there are a number of interesting provisions in the FY12 NDAA. Some will affect cost allowability and others will affect contracting with the Federal government. Stay tuned for the FAR and DFARS rule-making, which will be coming our way shortly.

 

Booz Allen Hamilton Back in the News “for the Wrong Reasons”

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We had intended to publish an update on the continuing saga of Booz Allen Hamilton’s (BAH) continuing demonstration of its corporate ignorance of fundamental procurement rules even before we saw this snarky story from Scott Amey at POGO. You remember our original article on BAH’s problems with its San Antonio office, don’t you? It’s received more than one thousand hits as this article is being written.

Poor BAH. In our previous article, we provided a reported quote by the “debarring official” of the U.S. Air Force. That individual reportedly said—

The conduct … raises serious concerns regarding [BAH’s] business integrity, business honesty, and compliance with government contracting requirements, and the adequacy of BAH San Antonio’s ethics and compliance program, including the training provided to its employees.

We agreed with those sentiments. But we were careful to distinguish the conduct of a few, clearly ill-informed and poorly trained, BAH employees in the organization’s San Antonio office from the conduct of the thousands of well-informed and well-trained BAH employees housed in offices around the world. The improper actions of a few should not taint the actions of the vast majority. And in a similar vein, the USAF was careful to suspend, and move for debarment, of just the single BAH office in San Antonio, and not the entire BAH organization that reports more than $5 Billion in annual sales. We’ve all learned from the inequitable treatment of Arthur Andersen’s personnel, almost all of whom had nothing to do with the Enron account—and so now we aim for a proportionate response to a limited problem (or so we’d like to believe).

But now we aren’t so sure that the problems at BAH are limited to a single Texas office.

The POGO story linked-to at the beginning of this article focused on the hiring of BAH by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for “management support services,” asserting that the SEC incurs a premium of more than 50% from the substitution of BAH personnel for its own employees. The cost of outsourcing government jobs has been a POGO concern for a while, as we reported here. But that’s not the part of the story that caught our eye. No.

What caught our eye was the part of the story where POGO reported that a retired Navy employee by the name of Gregory R. Penk, had pleaded guilty to unlawfully disclosing “procurement contractor bid and source selection information” … to Booz Allen Hamilton.

Here’s a link to the official Department of Justice press release. And here’s a link to a local newspaper story on the same topic (which, quite frankly, adds very little if anything to the DOJ release).

According to the DOJ—

On June 30, 2010, the Navy solicited bids for a new Naval Air Warfare Center - Aircraft Division (NAWCAD) contract as part of a competitive procurement process. The services had previously been provided by Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH), one of the companies submitting bids on the new contract. Penk was responsible for assisting the contracting officer with funding, performance and technical issues related to the program.

Penk admitted that on three separate occasions, he disclosed contractor bid and source selection information about the NAWCAD contract to BAH. Specifically, on February 14, March 2 and March 4, 2011, Penk called a BAH employee and provided specific information about the contract, including the fact that BAH might not win the project and that BAH’s bid was $7.5 million higher than a competitor’s bid. Penk also informed the employee that the Navy would be issuing a best and final offer request and that BAH should prepare for that request. Penk disclosed the information to give BAH a competitive advantage in the award of the contract.

The Navy learned about Penk’s illegal disclosures and had to rebid the contract.

The BAH office in San Antonio was focused on proposing for work at an Air Force facility. Presumably, this is a BAH office in Maryland or Washington, D.C., proposing for work at a Naval facility. Yet despite differences in military services, geographic location, and in the type of work being solicited, there are some noticeable commonalities. Do you see them?

Yeah, it’s not hard to see that both of these groups of BAH employees shared a common ignorance of expected standards of legal conduct in the government procurement environment, a common ignorance of expected standards of ethical conduct within BAH, and/or a willful and intentional disregard of those standards of conduct.

Remember at the beginning of this article when we said “The improper actions of a few should not taint the actions of the vast majority?” Remember that sanctimonious equine fecal matter? Yeah; now we’re rethinking that.

Now we’re wondering at the actual proportion of ethical employees at BAH versus the unethical few. Now we’re wondering who’s in the majority, and who’s in the minority within that organization.

And we wonder if the folks within the Naval law enforcement community are wondering the same thing.

 

 

Can the F-35 JSF Prevail Over Program Pressures?

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At $323 Billion, it was already the most expensive defense program ever, even before cost growth took the program value to $382 Billion. As costs have risen, the planned production volumes have decreased—from 3,000 to approximately 2,450 (not counting international sales). And the Pentagon just decided to delay 179 of those 2,450 aircraft. Frequent news stories and editorials critical of the program’s cost-growth, schedule delays and performance issues have led a National Defense Industrial Association blog to call it “a symbol of dysfunctional, overpriced Pentagon programs.” And that’s from a bona fide defense industry cheerleader.

When a test flight had to be cut short because of a fuel leak that resulted in an “in-flight emergency,” another erstwhile defense cheerleader, the Defense Industry Daily, opined that perhaps the Air Force’s “lofty rhetoric” should “be taken down a couple of notches”—because (in DID’s words) “Updating [USAF] doctrine to ‘maintain air dominance, 15 minutes at a timedoes not sound very convincing ….”

The Honorable Frank Kendall (Acting Under Secretary for Defense, Acquisition, Technology & Logistics) called the Pentagon’s decision to have the F-35 program enter production before flight testing was complete “acquisition malpractice” and said, “it should not have been done.” According to this Defense News story—

Kendall said that the Pentagon had made ‘optimistic’ predictions about the capabilities of design tools, simulations and modeling to build a fighter that would breeze through test flights without problems. ‘Now we’re paying the price for being wrong,’ Kendall said.

Problems are cropping up on all three variants of the F-35 that would typically be expected in any highly ambitious next-generation fighter program, he said. ‘We didn’t model everything as precisely as we thought,’ Kendall said. …

Kendall said there is a tendency to start production too early, adding that the F-35 is an ‘extreme example.’ Barry Watts, an analyst at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments in Washington, D.C., agreed with Kendall’s assessment. ‘My understanding is the amount of concurrency on this program is as great as or greater than any past program,’ he said.

Watts, who has been to Lockheed’s Fort Worth, Texas, plant, described long lines of F-35s already being built. ‘Most of those, if they’re going to be operational airplanes eventually, are going to have to go back and have a bunch of changes made to them,’ he said. ‘That drives up cost and delays things.’

It’s not just operational issues that plague the program. The Defense Department has implementedpayment withholds” on the Lockheed Martin Fort Worth F-35 Prime Contractor facility. (And that’s after not paying out $614 Million in budgeted award fees for the development phase of the program.) Since the facility’s Earned Value Management System was “decertified” two years ago, the DOD felt it could no longer rely on Lockheed Martin to provide accurate cost and schedule performance information, and thus started decrementing program payments by two percent until LockMart’s EVM System can pass an audit.

If the foregoing wasn’t enough to cause migraines, POGO has reported a “slew of problems” with the aircraft, and ex-POGO Investigator Nick Schwellenbach has reported (on his new blog at Time.com) that the DOD Inspector General is performing a review of the program’s quality management system. Schwellenbach’s blog quotes the DOD IG as saying that, “the assessment will focus on conformity to specified quality management system(s), contractual quality clauses, and internal quality processes and procedures.”

Over at Federal Times, author Lawrence Korb (of the Center for American Progress) asked who will be held accountable for “F-35 program mismanagement”? Korb wrote—

In any profession when there is malpractice, the person or persons who commit the offense are held accountable. They lose their jobs or their licenses, or resign from sheer embarrassment.

But this is apparently not the case in the military-industrial complex when it comes to the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, the most expensive program in the history of the Pentagon, whose unit costs have risen from $69 million to $159 million and whose initial operational capability has been set back at least five years. …

Lockheed's most recent contract for building 32 F-35 jets overran its target cost of $3.46 billion by $245 million, or 7 percent.

As a result of the continuing problems with the F-35, Leon Panetta, Gates' replacement as Defense secretary, along with Carter and Kendall, have made a ‘management decision’ to slow production of the F-35 over the next two years. Nonetheless, Lockheed will receive $9.2 billion in the fiscal 2013 budget to build 29 planes, more than $300 million per aircraft. If anything, this will increase the cost, drive up profits for Lockheed, and keep Carter and Kendall managing this program and all the other weapons programs.

So much for paying the price for malpractice.

Taking a less incendiary approach to the question, the writers at Aviation Week & Space Technology recently addressed the topic of “Why Major Acquisition Programs Fail”. The authors wrote—

Kendall—a veteran of procurement politics and management—remarked than none of the problems he had seen during the Reagan administration have been solved, and he joked that acquisition has two main problems: ‘planning and execution.’ …

The Pentagon’s director of operational test and evaluation, Michael Gilmore, made … clear at a conference last year {the point that Pentagon planners know about program problems well ahead of time]: ‘Most of the time, when unrealistic requirements are promulgated, there are numerous people who know that they are unrealistic, so it’s not a case of their being not fully understood.’ The problem, Gilmore continued, is that there are ‘incentives to promise to deliver revolutionary capabilities quickly at low cost.’ …

… most military procurement systems reward companies that underestimate the cost of new programs. The first reward is winning the program, and the second is higher revenue as a result of overruns under development contracts that are cost-plus. (Development costs do overrun in the non-defense world—the Boeing 777 and 787 and Airbus A380 being good examples—but they are still small relative to the companies’ production revenue, so that even the 787 debacle has not threatened Boeing’s survival or independence.)

Higher acquisition costs also drive company growth, as do higher-than-predicted operating costs, particularly this century as more maintenance work was outsourced to contractors. The failure of the Global Hawk Block 30, whose operating costs were higher than the aging, manned U-2, is the exception rather than the rule: Most operators accept the overruns and reduce capability in other areas. …

Military planners—and it is overwhelmingly military planners—want to obtain a capability they cannot afford, or which is at the risky end of the spectrum. To avoid scaring those assessing or paying the bills, they either under-estimate how much it will cost, or they fudge the risk of the project, or both.

If a program is ‘on budget,’ it is more difficult to cancel. If the paperwork looks good, then officials have to look elsewhere to find more funding to actually get the program up to the implied status. In turn, other projects are salami-sliced as billpayers, which then starts to imperil those programs. Alternatively, the original, badly estimated, badly specified program is stretched out yet further, a move that always costs more in the longer term.

Getting back to the F-35 program, the Defense Acquisitions Board (DAB) recently “recertified” the program after a Nunn-McCurdy Breach, but continuing cost growth and budget problems (especially related to a new cost estimate of $1 Trillion for program sustainment costs) “might force the Pentagon to slow production down further or trim flight hours for aircrew”—according to this article at Defense News. The article reported—

Because of the way sustainment costs are calculated, affordability is still a problem, and that might mean that the number of aircraft bought in the near term might be further truncated or that flight training hours are curtailed, [a senior defense official] said. The numbers are expected to fluctuate during the next five years.

Additionally, costs associated with military construction still have to be sorted out.

Eight nations other than the USA have contributed funding to the program. The initial program budgeting assumed sales of 3,100 aircraft to international partners. The eight partners included Australia, Canada, Great Britain, Turkey, Denmark, Holland, Norway, and Italy. In addition, both Japan and Israel have committed to the program.  

This recent Reuters story reports that “Britain has deferred to 2015 a firm commitment on how many Lockheed Martin Corp F-35 Joint Strike Fighter jets it will buy, adding to uncertainties over the multinational program.”

This recent article reports—

Defense Minister Giampaolo Di Paola said Italy would cut investment in the radar-evading new fighter, although he said the plane was ‘still an important commitment’ for the country's defense system. He gave no details, but Italian media reports forecast Italy would cut 40 warplanes from the 131 originally planned.

That same article added—

Canadian Defense Minister Peter MacKay repeatedly dodged a question on Tuesday on whether the government was rethinking its planned F-35 purchases, saying only that Canada was committed to buying aircraft that would aid its troops. … Turkey has halved its initial order for four planes, part of a larger order that it has not yet reduced, and Australia is thinking about changing the pace of 12 initial orders.

The issue yet to be faced is what happens if unit costs increase to the point that the aircraft become unaffordable—either for budgetary or for political reasons—by the international partners who have made commitments to acquire a certain number of aircraft? We alluded to this problem in a previous F-35 article, where we wondered whether LockMart might “find itself the builder of a white elephant fighter whose lack of economies of scale make the plane unaffordable for its international partners.”

So to sum it all up, these are clearly tough times for the Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter program. Navy Seals have a saying: “It pays to be a winner.” The Lockheed Martin program management team and its executives are learning what happens to the guy that finishes near the end of the pack. It’s not that the guy is a loser—not at all. After all, he finished and didn’t quit. It’s just that the guy isn’t a winner. Winners get to rest and recuperate, while non-winners have to work harder.

The F-35 program team needs to work a lot harder in order to make the cut.

 


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Newsflash

Effective January 1, 2019, Nick Sanders has been named as Editor of two reference books published by LexisNexis. The first book is Matthew Bender’s Accounting for Government Contracts: The Federal Acquisition Regulation. The second book is Matthew Bender’s Accounting for Government Contracts: The Cost Accounting Standards. Nick replaces Darrell Oyer, who has edited those books for many years.