Updating Investment Advice
Maybe I was bored, or maybe I wanted to write and there was nothing else to write about. In any case, in August, 2013, I wrote an investing advice article.
What was that doing on this website? You know, the website ostensibly devoted to government contracting matters? The one that is supposed to showcase expertise in case somebody, you know, wants to reach out and hire Apogee Consulting, Inc. What does investing advice have to do with any of that? Nothing.
Still: it happened.
In fairness to me, I was very clear that I was not any kind of investing guru. Any insight I had was the result of lots and lots of mistakes. As I wrote: “I claim no insight or insider knowledge or any expertise in this area whatsoever. So feel free to ignore my investing advice. I really have no business writing about the topic.”
And hopefully many readers did indeed ignore my investing advice.
Just to recap: I offered a hypothetical portfolio of 100 shares of Ford, 100 shares of Bank of America, and 100 shares of Cisco. All of which cost less than $6,000 (before commissions). (Actually the portfolio would have cost $5,473.) I said: “for less than $6,000, you can have a stock portfolio that includes an American auto manufacturer, a finance company, and a technology company. That’s not too shabby, in terms of diversification.”
About eighteen months later, in April, 2015, we updated that hypothetical portfolio. The starting value had increased to $5,870, a gain of $397. In addition, you would have banked $240 in dividend payments during that timeframe. So you would have had a total return on investment of $637 or nearly 12 percent.
Now, another eighteen or so months later, we are going to revisit that portfolio. Here is the updated table.
| Stock Picks |
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Aug. 26, 2013 |
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Nov. 11, 2016 |
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Share |
No. of |
Amount |
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Share |
Current |
Gain or |
Dividend |
Total |
Percent |
| Stock |
Ticker |
Price |
Shares |
Invested |
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Price |
Value |
Loss |
Paid |
Return |
Return |
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| Ford |
F |
$16.41 |
100 |
$1,641 |
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$12.28 |
$1,228 |
$(413) |
$130.00 |
$(283.00) |
-17.25% |
| Bank America |
BAC |
$14.49 |
100 |
$1,449 |
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$19.02 |
$1,902 |
$453 |
$32.50 |
$485.50 |
33.51% |
| Cisco Systems |
CSCO |
$23.83 |
100 |
$2,383 |
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$31.36 |
$3,136 |
$753 |
$141.00 |
$894.00 |
37.52% |
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| Totals |
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$5,473 |
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$6,266 |
$793 |
$304 |
$1,097 |
20.03% |
What does the table tell us?
Well, that Ford pick wasn’t so hot. We lost some money there. And even though we cashed some sweet dividends (which qualified for preferred tax treatment) it wasn’t enough to make up for the hit to the share price. Hopefully you were smarter than I was and you sold Ford after the last update and reinvested the proceeds into Bank of America or Cisco, or another company. But even if you didn’t do that, you are still up 20 percent on your original investment, because Bank of America and Cisco did nicely for us. If you had put all your eggs into the Cisco basket, you would now be looking at a ROI of more than 37 percent. And if you had decided to sell, your profits would have been taxed at long-term capital gains rates.
As you may recall, the object of the original exercise was to compare and contrast starting out in the equities market versus leaving your money in savings or in a CD. If you would have taken the safe, conservative, route, you would have made maybe one or two percent on your funds—and that return would have been fully taxable. We believe we’ve made our point.
Looking forward, I have no better crystal ball than anybody else. I have no picks to offer you, no sure winners guaranteed to make you rich. In fact, I continue to lose money on some stocks (like Ford) while doing better on other choices (like Cisco). I have no insight that’s better than anybody else’s.
Still … it seems pretty obvious that interest rates are going up in the near term. What that means to me is that equities are going to offer better returns than bonds will (since bond prices move inversely to interest rates: when one goes up the other goes down). I am going to stay out of bonds until the yields increase to the point where they start to compete with equities. That could be a couple of years. Meanwhile, when I pick stocks to buy, I’m going to look for companies that will benefit from higher interest rates. That’s as much of a forecast as I can offer.
Again, though, I need to emphasize that I don’t do this stuff for a living and I am not offering any financial advice here. Find yourself a good financial advisor, one you can trust, and listen to them. Don’t listen to me.
But it you had listened to me and moved $5,500 or $6,000 from a CD into the stock market, and if you had picked the three companies I listed in a hypothetical small dollar value diversified portfolio, well, you would be doing pretty well by now.
Must be luck, I guess.
It’s Not Called “Post-Award Audit” Anymore
For a long time we have demonstrated subject matter expertise by translating phrases with specific meanings in the government contract environment into phrases that could be more readily understood by businesspeople. One example of such translations is “post-award audit.” That phrase had a specific meaning to DCAA auditors; it meant “defective pricing audit”. Then we explained that “defective pricing” means a proposal that was negotiated in noncompliance with the requirements of the Truth-in-Negotiations Act. And then we would explain TINA, and so forth.
No longer.
They are not called “post-award audits” anymore.
Sometime between after April, 2016, DCAA changed the name of the 42000 audit program to “Truth in Negotiations Audits”.
As the audit program states—
This standard audit program assists the auditor in planning and performing a Truth in Negotiations audit to determine if a negotiated contract price was increased by a significant amount because the contractor did not submit or disclose accurate, complete, and current cost or pricing data.
The irony here is that it’s not called Truth-in-Negotiations anymore. It hasn’t been called that for more than two years. It’s now called “Truthful Cost or Pricing Data”.
Another irony is that the Truthful Cost or Pricing Data requirement distinguishes between “cost or pricing data” and “certified cost or pricing data”. (It also distinguishes between those two categories and “data other than certified cost or pricing data”.) The FAR was revised to make these changes six years ago.
The audit program purpose statement does get one thing correct. It correctly states that a violation is not predicated on use, but rather nondisclosure. We noted this distinction here.
That’s not all, of course. The audit program also correctly lists the five requirements associated with a violation. They are:
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The information in question fits the definition of [certified] cost or pricing data.
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Accurate, complete, and current data existed and were reasonably available to the contractor before the agreement on price or other date agreed upon by the parties.
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Accurate, complete, and current data were not submitted or disclosed to the contracting officer or one of the designated representatives of the contracting officer and that these individuals did not have actual knowledge of such data or its significance to the proposal.
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The Government relied on defective certified cost or pricing data in negotiating with the contractor.
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The Government’s reliance on defective certified cost or pricing data caused an increase in the contract price.
(We note that the points above largely make the correct distinction between “certified cost or pricing data” and “cost or pricing data”.)
In related news, we have reported (several times) that DCAA seems to have gotten out of the defective pricing audit business. As the agency has focused on catching up on its backlog of unaudited contractor proposals to establish final billing rates, it has let this risk area go.
No longer.
The GFY2017 program plans call for an increase in such audits. Interestingly, they may be performed by Headquarters teams that don’t report to the local FAO. We’ll have to see what the results of this renewed focus will be.
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More General Misconduct
As we wrote a while ago, “Nobody should be surprised that employees will abuse company credit cards. It’s a known thing….” By no means is the abuse limited to corporate employees. Indeed, we’ve written several articles on the misuse of credit cards by both contractor employees and government employees. It’s an equal opportunity phenomenon.
We’ve also written before about abuse of privileges by the highest ranks of senior military leadership. For example, this article described how Major General William Ward “engaged in multiple forms of misconduct related to official and unofficial travel, misused a Government vehicle, misused Official Representation Funds [by distributing them to persons not authorized to receive them], wasted Government funds, and misused his position [by permitting staff members to perform personal services for him].” Not to be outdone, other military services—including both the US Air Force and US Navy—have had their own share of high-rank misdeeds.
Today’s story, however, is brought to you by the US Army and the Department of Defense Inspector General. Not to mention Major General Ronald Lewis, who served as Senior Military Assistant (SMA) to the Secretary of Defense.
The DoDIG investigated three allegations made about MG Lewis, including that he—
(1) misused his government travel charge card (GTCC) for personal expenses;
(2) made false official statements regarding his GTCC misuse;
and (3) engaged in a course of inappropriate behavior that included patronizing an establishment off-limits to U.S. military personnel, drinking to excess in public, and improper interactions with females.
The DoDIG substantiated all three allegations.
We are not going to delve into the salacious details of the DoDIG report. We included a link (above) so you can find them out for yourself, if you have a mind to.
What’s interesting (to us) is that MG Lewis was alleged to have made false statements. Specifically, the IG found that –
… MG Lewis violated the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ), Article 107, which prohibits individuals from making false statements related to their official duties, when he made false official verbal statements to subordinates and a false official written statement to Citibank regarding his GTCC use in Itaewon, Seoul. His GTCC statement and receipts confirm that he visited the off-limits Candy Bar club, where he charged $1,121.25 in personal expenses to his GTCC, and received some form of services or benefits from those transactions. When Office of the Secretary of Defense staff asked MG Lewis if he made the charges, he denied doing so. He then executed a digitally signed declaration to Citibank attesting that he did not make the charges to his GTCC at the Candy Bar club or receive services there. MG Lewis’ verbal statements to subordinates and written statement to Citibank denying that he made charges to his GTCC at the Candy Bar club were false. He knew that he used his GTCC there and received services. His false statements violated UCMJ Article 107 because preparing a voucher for official travel reimbursement and executing a report to the GTCC issuer relate to his official duties. The false statements caused Citibank to remove all the Candy Bar club charges from MG Lewis’ GTCC account, causing financial loss to Citibank.
We always make it a point to tell our clients that they must not lie or mislead government auditors in any manner. We now note that a similar prohibition applies to military personnel when conducting official duties; or, in this case, when making official statements about conduct that was definitely not a part of their official duties.
Equal Access to Justice
A while ago we published an article about a small business that was forced to choose between accepting a very bad deal and spending the money to litigate. We were rather hard on the Navy contracting officer who, quite explicitly and intentionally, forced that small business into such a difficult decision. We wrote—
For those small businesses that may be reading this article, you do not have to let yourself be bullied by a prime contractor or by a government contracting officer. You can, and you should, choose to litigate when you believe you are correct. You can win and you may be able to get your attorney’s fees paid for by the opposition. (See: Equal Access to Justice Act.)
Soon after we wrote that bit, we came across a decision at the Court of Federal Claims that reinforced our advice. The problem with the decision is that, in order to really appreciate it, you need to have followed the long and tortuous road that got the parties there. We have neither sufficient time nor patience to detail the journey. Here’s a summary—just a taste—of that journey.
The contractor, SUFI Network Services, initially filed 28 claims to its contracting officer, together worth more than $130 million. The CO agreed to pay SUFI $133,000 and denied the rest of the claims. SUFI appealed to the ASBCA, amending its claim to ask for $163 million. The ASBCA found merit to some of SUFI’s claims but only awarded $3.8 million. Upon reconsideration, the Board increased its award to $7.4 million. SUFI appealed the ASBCA decision to Court of Federal Claims (CoFC), who found legal errors and awarded SUFI $118.8 million. The Government and SUFI both appealed to the Federal Circuit, who upheld the CoFC’s reasoning but vacated the award and remanded back to the ASBCA to determine the proper quantum. The ASBCA awarded SUFI $111.8 million.
The Government appealed that decision to the CoFC. The CoFC dismissed the appeal because it found that the Government didn’t have appeal rights from the decision of its own Board. The Government appealed that decision to the Federal Circuit, who affirmed the CoFC’s decision.
Having been through 10 years of litigation, SUFI requested that its attorney fees be reimbursed under the Equal Access to Justice Act (EAJA). As Judge Wheeler, writing for the Court, stated—
The Government disputes nearly every aspect of SUFI’s claim, including its liability to pay for any fees at all, the hourly rate at which fees can be recovered, whether interest applies to any fee award, and even whether this Court has the authority to grant SUFI’s fee application.
Judge Wheeler also discussed the purpose of the EAJA, writing—
The primary purpose of … the Equal Access to Justice Act (“EAJA”), is to reduce a potential plaintiff’s economic deterrents to contesting unreasonable government action by holding the Government liable for attorneys’ fees and expenses when the Government’s position was not substantially justified. … In addition, Congress noted that the Government has greater resources and expertise than the average civil defendant and so the ‘standard for an award of fees against the United States should be different from the standard governing an award against a private litigant.’
Judge Wheeler found that SUFI was entitled to recovery of its attorney fees. He wrote “The Court finds that SUFI is entitled to an award of its attorneys’ fees and expenses under either subsection of [EAJA] because the Government acted in bad faith and also advanced a position that was not substantially justified.”
Importantly, the government’s conduct, both before and after SUFI commenced litigation, was deemed to be evidence regarding the government’s bad faith. Judge Wheeler wrote—
The facts of this case demand a finding similar to that in Vaughan v. Atkinson because the pre-litigation Government conduct literally left SUFI with no choice but to seek formal adjudication. Following the Air Force’s willful breach of the contract, the Government continued to delay and obstruct SUFI’s every attempt to recover its losses. The contracting officer denied all of SUFI’s substantial claims despite the Board later finding that the Air Force’s breach was willful and material. … The Air Force took nearly seven months to enter into the Partial Settlement Agreement (‘PSA’), and then later argued before the Board that the PSA was unenforceable. … The contracting officer’s decision, despite the unequivocal breach, and the Air Force’s resistance to entering a PSA, forced SUFI to seek judicial review. In order to obtain judicial review, SUFI was required to first appear before the ASBCA pursuant to its contract with the Air Force.
(Emphasis in original. Internal citations omitted.)
Judge Wheeler had more to say but we believe the point has been made. If you are a small business and your contracting officer puts you in the difficult position of having to choose between accepting an unwarranted profit degradation or hiring an attorney to litigate your claim and appeal, you can be confident that your attorney fees will be reimbursed by the government. (This assumes, of course, that you prevail and you qualify for attorney’s fees under the provisions of the EAJA.)
More to the point, when your contracting officer tells you—
I am prepared to offer $5,164.00 to cover the portion of the claim that we have determined to have merit. That amount probably will not satisfy you though, as I understand that you feel you are due the full $22k. I have also heard that it can cost more than $100K to go through the ASBCA appeal process. If that is true, the economics of it don't make much sense to me, but of course you have the right to do so.
--then you can confidently reply, “It may indeed cost me $100K to go through the ASBCA appeal process; but when I win, you will be paying my attorney’s fees in addition to the $17,000 you are trying to screw me out of .”
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